Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 91.284785 101.654839 112.184692 123.646731 135.742146 148.098699 161.648142
2025-10-12 76.275922 91.450581 107.462266 125.494081 145.119984 165.728319 188.900662
2025-10-19 65.688123 83.435057 102.715684 124.970105 149.717364 176.185050 206.432417
2025-10-26 57.351244 76.867295 98.640707 124.319631 153.398467 184.972441 221.528540
2025-11-02 51.354033 72.302960 96.238577 124.999279 158.069956 194.427430 236.966532
2025-11-09 45.409773 67.250014 92.809554 124.084905 160.573137 201.154198 249.093394
2025-11-16 40.855618 63.484215 90.564376 124.248726 164.053880 208.768866 262.025838
2025-11-23 36.225104 59.247611 87.449405 123.117353 165.804743 214.226793 272.354390
2025-11-30 33.384818 57.076368 86.677826 124.633278 170.526554 222.990185 286.360057
2025-12-07 30.983627 55.291750 86.240405 126.431397 175.483815 231.950909 300.532833
2025-12-14 27.586425 51.902867 83.574881 125.326503 176.837235 236.607600 309.654140
2025-12-21 24.108894 48.129534 80.206316 123.170915 176.778212 239.491149 316.619128
2025-12-28 23.365157 48.258988 81.972173 127.526122 184.711404 251.902799 334.815711
2026-01-04 22.013177 47.392479 82.348077 130.071159 190.405617 261.655271 349.914069
2026-01-11 19.669254 44.845211 80.322816 129.424732 192.078144 266.548098 359.249688
2026-01-18 17.538749 42.448440 78.377111 128.779980 193.673340 271.288306 368.357561
2026-01-25 16.008723 40.882741 77.501318 129.470116 196.887779 277.942382 379.706295
2026-02-01 14.136198 38.581381 75.469177 128.537917 197.988379 281.986083 387.910045
2026-02-08 12.730340 36.944978 74.307602 128.704943 200.434194 287.630434 397.998501
2026-02-15 11.107988 34.757702 72.231211 127.550804 201.128258 291.086782 405.428321
2026-02-22 10.277245 33.946581 72.155790 129.097229 205.272786 298.765423 417.928652
2026-03-01 9.573584 33.311086 72.307631 130.931320 209.773730 306.875862 430.949052
2026-03-08 8.284074 31.374381 70.376498 129.804349 210.376384 310.130926 438.072738